Bryan Baker - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
Bryan Baker is currently the primary closer for the Tampa Bay Rays and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · Tampa Bay Rays
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-09-20 to 2026-10-19 (PT) · Total appearances: 8
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | 25.0% | 37.5%1 3 | 12.5% | 25.0%2 | 100.0% |
| Total | - | - | - | - | 25.0% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | 2 | 31 3 | 1 | 22 | 8 |
| Total | - | - | - | - | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 24% | Closer |
| 2026-10-19 | 8% | Closer |
| 2026-10-18 | 25% | Closer |
| 2026-10-17 | 24% | Closer |
| 2026-10-16 | 26% | Closer |
| 2026-10-15 | 22% | Closer |
| 2026-10-13 | 27% | Closer |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | Closer | 24% |
| Tyler Wells | Setup | 3% |
| Kevin Kelly | Setup | 1% |
Team page: Tampa Bay Rays Bullpen Hierarchy