Bryan Baker - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
Bryan Baker is currently the primary closer for the Tampa Bay Rays and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · Tampa Bay Rays
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-05-06 to 2026-06-04 (PT) · Total appearances: 12
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | 8.3%1 | - | - | - | 8.3% | 8.3% | - | - | 25.0% |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | 16.7% | - | 8.3% | 50.0%2 3 | - | 75.0% |
| Total | 8.3% | - | - | 16.7% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% | - | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | 11 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | - | - | 3 |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | 2 | - | 1 | 62 3 | - | 9 |
| Total | 1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | 12 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 25% | Closer |
| 2026-06-03 | 28% | Closer |
| 2026-06-02 | 25% | Closer |
| 2026-06-01 | 26% | Closer |
| 2026-05-31 | 30% | Closer |
| 2026-05-30 | 7% | Closer |
| 2026-05-29 | 26% | Closer |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | Closer | 25% |
| Ian Seymour | Setup | 2% |
| Kevin Kelly | Setup | 1% |
Team page: Tampa Bay Rays Bullpen Hierarchy