Cade Smith - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
Cade Smith is currently the primary closer for the Cleveland Guardians and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · Cleveland Guardians
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-05-06 to 2026-06-04 (PT) · Total appearances: 12
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | 33.3%2 | 41.7%1 3 | 25.0% | - | 100.0% |
| Total | - | - | - | - | 33.3% | 41.7% | 25.0% | - | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | 42 | 51 3 | 3 | - | 12 |
| Total | - | - | - | - | 4 | 5 | 3 | - | 12 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 25% | Closer |
| 2026-06-04 | 19% | Closer |
| 2026-06-03 | 20% | Closer |
| 2026-06-02 | 15% | Closer |
| 2026-05-31 | 24% | Closer |
| 2026-05-30 | 24% | Closer |
| 2026-05-29 | 23% | Closer |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith | Closer | 25% |
| Hunter Gaddis | Setup | 3% |
| Shawn Armstrong | Setup | 1% |
Team page: Cleveland Guardians Bullpen Hierarchy