Cade Smith - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
Cade Smith is currently the primary closer for the Cleveland Guardians and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · Cleveland Guardians
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-22 (PT) · Total appearances: 11
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | 9.1% | - | - | - | - | 9.1% |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | 9.1% | 18.2%2 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2%1 | 9.1%3 | 90.9% |
| Total | - | - | 9.1% | 27.3% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | 1 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 10 |
| Total | - | - | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | 22% | Closer |
| 2026-07-22 | 25% | Closer |
| 2026-07-21 | 26% | Closer |
| 2026-07-20 | 20% | Closer |
| 2026-07-19 | 22% | Closer |
| 2026-07-18 | 39% | Closer |
| 2026-07-17 | 23% | Closer |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith | Closer | 22% |
| Hunter Gaddis | Setup | 3% |
| Colin Holderman | Setup | 1% |
Team page: Cleveland Guardians Bullpen Hierarchy