David Bednar - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
David Bednar is currently the primary closer for the New York Yankees and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · New York Yankees
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-22 (PT) · Total appearances: 7
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | 14.3% | 14.3%3 | - | - | - | - | - | 28.6% |
| 4 | - | - | - | 14.3%1 | - | - | - | - | 14.3% |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | - | 28.6%2 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 57.1% |
| Total | - | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | - | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | 1 | 13 | - | - | - | - | - | 2 |
| 4 | - | - | - | 11 | - | - | - | - | 1 |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Total | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | 46% | Closer |
| 2026-07-21 | 29% | Closer |
| 2026-07-20 | 7% | Closer |
| 2026-07-19 | 36% | Closer |
| 2026-07-18 | 22% | Closer |
| 2026-07-17 | 21% | Closer |
| 2026-07-12 | 21% | Closer |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | Closer | 0% |
| Fernando Cruz | Setup | 0% |
| Brent Headrick | Setup | 0% |
Team page: New York Yankees Bullpen Hierarchy