David Bednar - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
David Bednar is currently the primary closer for the New York Yankees and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · New York Yankees
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-03-22 to 2026-04-20 (PT) · Total appearances: 9
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | 11.1% | - | - | 11.1% |
| <=3 | - | - | 11.1%2 | 11.1% | 11.1%3 | 33.3%1 | 22.2% | - | 88.9% |
| Total | - | - | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 44.4% | 22.2% | - | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 1 |
| <=3 | - | - | 12 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 2 | - | 8 |
| Total | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - | 9 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | 20% | Closer |
| 2026-04-19 | 23% | Closer |
| 2026-04-18 | 23% | Closer |
| 2026-04-17 | 24% | Closer |
| 2026-04-16 | 26% | Closer |
| 2026-04-15 | 22% | Closer |
| 2026-04-14 | 25% | Closer |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | Closer | 20% |
| Fernando Cruz | Setup | 3% |
| Brent Headrick | Setup | 1% |
Team page: New York Yankees Bullpen Hierarchy