Justin Topa - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
Justin Topa is currently in a committee role for the Minnesota Twins bullpen and remains relevant for save chances.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · Minnesota Twins
Bullpen Role
Committee
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-03-22 to 2026-04-20 (PT) · Total appearances: 14
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| 7–9 | 7.1%3 | 7.1% | 7.1%2 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 7.1%1 | - | - | 50.0% |
| 5–6 | 7.1% | - | - | - | - | - | 7.1% | - | 14.3% |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | 7.1% | - | - | - | 7.1% | - | 14.3% | 28.6% |
| Total | 14.3% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| 7–9 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | 7 |
| 5–6 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 | 4 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | 7% | Committee |
| 2026-04-19 | 1% | Committee |
| 2026-04-18 | 8% | Committee |
| 2026-04-17 | 9% | Committee |
| 2026-04-15 | 6% | Committee |
| 2026-04-14 | 6% | Committee |
| 2026-04-13 | 5% | Committee |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Sands | Committee | 9% |
| Taylor Rogers | Committee | 7% |
| Justin Topa | Committee | 7% |
Team page: Minnesota Twins Bullpen Hierarchy