Keaton Winn - Bullpen Role & Save Probability
Keaton Winn is currently the primary closer for the San Francisco Giants and profiles as one of their top save options.
Last updated:
Player Type
Relief Pitcher · San Francisco Giants
Bullpen Role
Closer
Usage Matrices
Sample: 2026-05-06 to 2026-06-04 (PT) · Total appearances: 8
Usage Matrix (%)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 12.5%3 | - | 12.5%1 | - | - | 12.5%2 | - | - | 37.5% |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | - | - | 37.5% |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Total | 12.5% | - | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 100.0% |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Usage Matrix (Apps)
| Outs Remaining | <=-3 | -2 | -1 | tie | +1 | +2 | +3 | >=4 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 13 | - | 11 | - | - | 12 | - | - | 3 |
| 7–9 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | 3 |
| 5–6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| <=3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Total | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
Notes
¹ most recent appearance
² second most recent appearance
³ third most recent appearance
Save Probability Trend
| Date (PT) | Save Probability | Model Role (Historical) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 22% | Closer |
| 2026-06-04 | 18% | Closer |
| 2026-06-03 | 9% | Committee |
| 2026-06-02 | 5% | Committee |
| 2026-06-01 | 8% | Committee |
| 2026-05-31 | 8% | Committee |
| 2026-05-30 | 3% | Setup |
Team Bullpen Context
| Pitcher | Role | Save Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn | Closer | 22% |
| Erik Miller | Setup | 2% |
| Caleb Kilian | Setup | 1% |
Team page: San Francisco Giants Bullpen Hierarchy